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Prediction markets are forums for trad- ing contracts that yield payments based on the outcome of uncertain events.There is mounting evidence that such markets can help to produce forecasts of event o...
Prediction of profitability of topworking in older apple orchards under contemporary economic conditions of the Czech Republic
apple orchards top working economics costs profit cultivars tree densities rootstocks yields
2015/1/20
In the Czech Republic, there is still a predominance of obsolete apple orchards that were established more than 15 years ago and that are not profitable under contemporary conditions. Typical features...
Grey prediction with rolling mechanism for electricity demand forecasting of Turkey
Electricity demand Forecasting Grey prediction
2014/11/27
The need for energy supply, especially for electricity, has been increasing in the last two decades in Turkey. In addition, owing to the uncertain economic structure of the country, electricity consum...
Predictive ability of machine learning methods for massive crop yield prediction
regression trees neural networks support vector regression k-nearest neighbor multiple linear regression
2014/10/24
An important issue for agricultural planning purposes is the accurate yield estimation for the numerous crops involved in the planning. Machine learning (ML) is an essential approach for achieving pra...
Applying Information Technology to Financial Statement Analysis for Market Capitalization Prediction
Fundamental Analysis Market Capitalization Accounting Information Systems
2013/2/23
Determining which attributes may be employed for predicting the market capitalization of a business firm is a challenging task which may benefit from research intersecting principles of accounting and...
Going Concern Prediction of Iranian Companies by Using Fuzzy C-Means
Going Concern Prediction Fuzzy C-Means
2013/2/23
Decision-making problems in the area of financial status evaluation have been considered very important. Making incorrect decisions in firms is very likely to cause financial crises and distress. Pred...
The Effects of Prediction Market Design and Price Elasticity on Trading Performance of Users: An Experimental Analysis
Prediction market market design market making price elasticity idea evaluation
2012/4/28
We employ a 2x3 factorial experiment to study two central factors in the design of prediction markets (PMs) for idea evaluation: the overall design of the PM, and the elasticity of market prices set b...
Price Jump Prediction in Limit Order Book
Price Jump Prediction Limit Order Book Trading and Market Microstructure
2012/4/28
A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity bala...
On multiple-class prediction of issuer credit ratings
industry effect issuer credit rating market-driven variable optimal cutoff value ordered probit model selection bias
2011/8/26
For multiple-class prediction, a frequently used approach is based on ordered probit model. We show that this approach is not optimal in the sense that it is not designed to minimize the error rate of...
An Improved on BP Neural Network for Financial Crisis Prediction
Neural Networks Financial crisis forecasting
2011/8/19
Financial crisis early warning model has important economic research value, and foreign scholars have conducted many researches and achieved many results. For example :Beaver（1966）、Altman（1968）、Ohlson...
On Prediction Errors in Regression Models with Nonstationary Regressors
accumulated prediction errors final prediction error least squares estimators random walk models.
2011/4/2
In this article asymptotic expressions for the final prediction error (FPE) and the accumulated prediction error (APE) of the least squares predictor are obtained in regression models with nonstationa...
Measurement and Prediction of the Solubility of CO2 in Ester Mixture
CO2 Solubility Eter Mxture Solubility Prediction
2013/2/25
The solubility of CO2 in ester mixtures under high pressures are studied in this article. The constant-volume method is used to determine the solubility of CO2 in DMC + diethyl carbonate system, DMC +...
Agricultural data prediction by means of neural network
neural network multi-layer perceptron approximation learning regression
2014/2/27
The contribution deals with the prediction of crop yield levels, using an artificial intelligence approach, namely a multi-layer neural network model. Subsequently, we are contrasting this approach wi...
Comparing Prediction Market Structures, With an Application to Market Making
Market Structures Application Market Making
2010/10/21
Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but the...
Prediction accuracy and sloppiness of log-periodic functions
Prediction accuracy sloppiness log-periodic functions
2010/10/20
We show that log-periodic power-law (LPPL) functions are intrinsically very hard to fit to time series. This comes from their sloppiness, the squared residuals depending very much on some combination...