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The Effects of Prediction Market Design and Price Elasticity on Trading Performance of Users: An Experimental Analysis
Prediction market market design market making price elasticity idea evaluation
2012/4/28
We employ a 2x3 factorial experiment to study two central factors in the design of prediction markets (PMs) for idea evaluation: the overall design of the PM, and the elasticity of market prices set b...
Comparing Prediction Market Structures, With an Application to Market Making
Market Structures Application Market Making
2010/10/21
Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but the...
We propose the development of a prediction market for forecasting prices for “toxic assets” to be transferred from Irish banks to the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA). Such a market allows mark...