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Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty:Theory and Firm Evidence
Investment Trade Uncertainty Policy Agreements
2015/9/22
Using a dynamic, heterogeneous firms model with sunk costs of exporting we show that: (i) investment and entry into export markets is reduced when trade policy is uncertain and (ii) credible preferent...
Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare:Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
Policy Uncertainty Trade Welfare China the U.S.
2015/9/22
We examine the impact of policy uncertainty on trade and real income through firms’ export investments in general equilibrium. We quantify the trade policy causes and welfare effects of China’s export...
We consider two classes of explanations for the rise in policy-related economic uncertainty in the United States since 1960. The first stresses growth in government spending, taxes,and regulation. A s...
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty
economic uncertainty policy uncertainty business cycles
2015/7/15
We develop a new index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) based on newspaper coverage. Our index spikes near tight presidential elections, after both Gulf wars, the 9/11 attacks, and during governme...
The Economics of Power Generation Technology Choice and Investment Timing in the Presence of Policy Uncertainty
Bioenergy Investment Renewable Energy Electricity Wind Power
2013/2/23
The purpose of this study is to analyze how market and policy uncertainties affect the general profitability of new investments in the power sector, and investigate the associated investment timing an...