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We estimate local multipliers from the ARRA (Obama stimulus) bill using cross-county variation in expenditure. We use within-state variation, and include other demographic controls as well as a pred...
We study optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an environment where explicit frictions giverise to valued money, making money essential in the sense that it expands the set of feasible trades. The two...
Persistent deficits, implying secular growth of debt, have led many to argue that fiscal rules may play an important role in helping reduce or eliminate deficits and help control the growth of governm...
Fiscal and Monetary Stabilization Policies in a Model of Endogenous Cyclical Growth.
After nearly a quarter century of large budget deficits—causing the public debt to double from 20 percent to 42 percent as a share of GDP in the industrialized countries—the need for greater fiscal ...
In 1992, President Bush proposed legislation intended to speed up the recovery from the 1990-91 recession. Congress rejected this proposal for countercyclical fiscal policy stimulus. In early 1993 P...
The financial crisis evidenced in Figure 1 can be traced to unusually low interest rates in the early part of this decade which let to the housing boom and bust, and then to massive delinquencies an...
A decade ago in a paper, “Reassessing Discretionary Fiscal Policy,” published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, I concluded that “in the current context of the US economy, it seems best to ...
The paper by Freedman, Kumhof, Laxton, Muir, and Mursula makes effective use of simulations of a very large macroeconomic model to estimate the impact of discretionary fiscal policies, including the ...
An empirical review of the three fiscal stimulus packages of the 2000s shows that they had little if any direct impact on consumption or government purchases. Households largely saved the transfers ...
This lecture starts with a review of historical trends in the balance between rules and discretion: first toward more discretionary policies in the 1960s and 1970s; second toward more rules-based po...
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis and great recession, many countries face substantial deficits and growing debts. In the United States, federal government outlays as a ratio to GDP ro...
Recently, we evaluated a fiscal consolidation strategy for the United States that would bring the government budget into balance by gradually reducing government spending relative to GDP to the rati...
We use responses to survey questions in the 2010 Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth that ask consumers how much of an unexpected transitory income change they would consume. We find tha...
Fiscal stimulus     Fiscal stimulus       2015/7/20
During the calm period in recent U.S. macroeconomic history, from the mid- 1980s to mid-2000s, stabilization policy relied mainly on monetary policy to deal with recessions, which were mild and many y...

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