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The recent crisis and the following flight to simplicity put most derivative businesses around the world under considerable pressure. We argue that the traditional mod- eling techniques must be exte...
We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular,...
In recent years, a market for mortality derivatives began developing as a way to handle systematic mortality risk, which is inherent in life insurance and annuity contracts. Systematic mortality risk...

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