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Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policy Rules: Experience and Research.
A written version of a dinner speech given at the conference, “Inflation Targeting and Monetary Policies in Emerging Economies” at the Central Bank of the Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia, ...
For a country that chooses not to "permanently" fix its exchange rate through a currency board, or a common currency, or some kind of dollarization, the only alternative monetary policy that can w...
This paper shows that the use of monetary policy rules in emerging market economies has many of the same benefits that have been found in research and in practice in developed economies. For those e...
I thank Michael Woodford for writing such a thoughtful and useful paper on monetary policy. It is filled with fascinating ideas and insights, each carefully explained. As befits this final “Looking ...
Over the past 20 years, the use of monetary policy rules has become pervasive in analyzing and prescribing monetary policy. This paper traces the development of such rules and their use in the anal...
We first document a large secular shift in the estimated response of the entire term structure of interest rates to inflation and output in the United States. The shift occurred in the early 1980s. W...
The first luncheon was held in 1948 in Cleveland.2 Winthrop Aldrich spoke. He was President of Chase National Bank, then the largest bank in the United States. Aldrich called his talk “The Managem...
Aldrich blamed the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policies of the 1920s for helping to cause the Great Depression. In the late ’40s, he was concerned that the Fed would monetize the enormous World War...
This lecture starts with a review of historical trends in the balance between rules and discretion: first toward more discretionary policies in the 1960s and 1970s; second toward more rules-based po...
This paper focuses on simple normative rules for monetary policy that central banks can use to guide their interest rate decisions. Such rules were first derived from research on empirical monetary ...
This lecture examines monetary policy during the past three decades. It documents two contrasting eras: first a Rules-Based Era from 1985 to 2003 and second an Ad Hoc Era from 2003 to the present. D...

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