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It is an honor to be invited to give the Inaugural Mayekawa Lecture, and it is a special
pleasure to return to Tokyo and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to do so. I would like to
begin the lecture by taking...
What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?
Term structure Forecasting Financial markets and the macroeconomy
2015/7/23
A lot, including a few things you may not expect. Previous studies find that the term spread
forecasts GDP but these regressions are unconstrained and do not model regressor
endogeneity. We bu...
Using subjective income expectations to test for excess sensitivity of consumption to predicted income growth
Subjective expectations Precautionary saving
2015/7/23
We test for precautionary saving and excess sensitivity of consumption to predicted
income growth using a 1989}1993 panel survey of Italian households that has measures
of subjective income and in#a...
Volatility and growth: Credit constraints and the composition of investment
Growth Volatility Credit constraints
2015/7/21
How does uncertainty and credit constraints affect the cyclical composition of
investment and thereby volatility and growth? This paper addresses this question
within a model where firms engag...
Heterogeneity in capital and skills in a neoclassical stochastic growth model
Neoclassical model Heterogeneous agents Aggregation Business cycles
2015/7/21
Heterogeneity in capital and skills in a neoclassical stochastic growth model.
The representative consumer in the neoclassical growth model with idiosyncratic shocks
Neoclassical growth model Heterogeneous agents Aggregation Business cycles Idiosyncratic shocks
2015/7/21
This paper studies a complete-market version of the neoclassical growth model, where agents face idiosyncratic shocks to earnings. We show that if agents possess identical preferences of either the CR...
ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND ENDOGENOUS BUSINESS CYCLES
Endogenous Growth Endogenous Business Cycles Innovation R&D, Technological Progress RBC
2015/7/21
This paper presents a computable general equilibrium model of endogenous (stochastic) growth and cycles that can account for two key features of the aggregate data: balanced growth in the long run and...
Income and Wealth Distributions Along the Business Cycle: Implications from the Neoclassical Growth Model
Neoclassical growth model heterogeneous agents aggregation business cycle income and wealth distributions inequality
2015/7/21
This paper studies the business cycle dynamics of income and wealth distributions in the context of the neoclassical growth model where agents are heterogeneous in initial wealth and non-acquired skil...
Solving the Neoclassical Growth Model with Quasi-Geometric Discounting: A Grid-Based Euler-Equation Method
Discounts neoclassical growth model grid euler equations
2015/7/21
Solving the Neoclassical Growth Model with Quasi-Geometric Discounting: A Grid-Based Euler-Equation Method.
Indeterminacy in a log–linearized neoclassical growth model with quasi-geometric discounting
The neoclassical growth model discounts nonlinear model logarithm linear function
2015/7/21
This paper studies the properties of solutions to a log–linearized version of the neoclassical growth model with quasi-geometric discounting. We show that after the log–linearization, the model has in...
The Neoclassical Growth Model with Heterogeneous Quasi-Geometric Consumers
neoclassical growth model time inconsistency quasi-geometric discounting hyperbolic discounting idiosyncratic shocks wealth inequality
2015/7/21
This paper investigates how the assumption of quasi-geometric (hyperbolic) discounting affects the distributional implications of the standard one-sector
neoclassical growth model with infinite...
A model of unbalanced sectorial growth with application to transition economies
Growth model Increasing returns to scale Agriculture
2015/7/21
A model of unbalanced sectorial growth with application to transition economies.
EU eastern enlargement and foreign investment: Implications from a neoclassical growth model
Foreign direct investment Capital fl ows EU enlargement Neoclassical growth model Transition economies Three-country model
2015/7/21
EU eastern enlargement and foreign investment: Implications from a neoclassical growth model.
Capital–Skill Complementarity and Balanced Growth
Capital - Skill complementary balanced growth
2015/7/21
Capital–Skill Complementarity and Balanced Growth.