搜索结果: 1-14 共查到“理论经济学 prediction”相关记录14条 . 查询时间(0.104 秒)
Grey prediction with rolling mechanism for electricity demand forecasting of Turkey
Electricity demand Forecasting Grey prediction
2014/11/27
The need for energy supply, especially for electricity, has been increasing in the last two decades in Turkey. In addition, owing to the uncertain economic structure of the country, electricity consum...
The Effects of Prediction Market Design and Price Elasticity on Trading Performance of Users: An Experimental Analysis
Prediction market market design market making price elasticity idea evaluation
2012/4/28
We employ a 2x3 factorial experiment to study two central factors in the design of prediction markets (PMs) for idea evaluation: the overall design of the PM, and the elasticity of market prices set b...
On multiple-class prediction of issuer credit ratings
industry effect issuer credit rating market-driven variable optimal cutoff value ordered probit model selection bias
2011/8/26
For multiple-class prediction, a frequently used approach is based on ordered probit model. We show that this approach is not optimal in the sense that it is not designed to minimize the error rate of...
An Improved on BP Neural Network for Financial Crisis Prediction
Neural Networks Financial crisis forecasting
2011/8/19
Financial crisis early warning model has important economic research value, and foreign scholars have conducted many researches and achieved many results. For example :Beaver（1966）、Altman（1968）、Ohlson...
On Prediction Errors in Regression Models with Nonstationary Regressors
accumulated prediction errors final prediction error least squares estimators random walk models.
2011/4/2
In this article asymptotic expressions for the final prediction error (FPE) and the accumulated prediction error (APE) of the least squares predictor are obtained in regression models with nonstationa...
Measurement and Prediction of the Solubility of CO2 in Ester Mixture
CO2 Solubility Eter Mxture Solubility Prediction
2013/2/25
The solubility of CO2 in ester mixtures under high pressures are studied in this article. The constant-volume method is used to determine the solubility of CO2 in DMC + diethyl carbonate system, DMC +...
Comparing Prediction Market Structures, With an Application to Market Making
Market Structures Application Market Making
2010/10/21
Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but the...
Prediction accuracy and sloppiness of log-periodic functions
Prediction accuracy sloppiness log-periodic functions
2010/10/20
We show that log-periodic power-law (LPPL) functions are intrinsically very hard to fit to time series. This comes from their sloppiness, the squared residuals depending very much on some combination...
Diagnosis and Prediction of Market Rebounds in Financial Markets
negative bubble rebound positive feedback pattern recognition trading strategy error diagram prediction Bayesian methods financial markets price forecasting
2010/4/27
We introduce the concept of "negative bubbles" as the mirror image of standard financial bubbles, in which positive feedback mechanisms may lead to transient accelerating price falls. To model these n...
Analysis of Prediction Profit Announcement for Share to Volume of Share Transaction in Tehran Stock Exchange
Estimated profit of each share Real profit of each share
2010/10/18
There are some signs, considered as influencing factors on shares transaction volume in an investment market come in a form of information and various predictions are available for investors and other...
Diagnosis and Prediction of Tipping Points in Financial Markets: Crashes and Rebounds
financial bubble crash negative bubble rebound
2010/10/18
By combining (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles, (ii) behavioral finance on imitation and herding of investors and traders and (iii) the mathematical and statistical physics of bi...
Analyzing the prices of the most expensive sheet iron all over the world: Modeling, prediction and regime change
Econophysics Auction markets Private car license plate Regime change
2010/10/18
The private car license plates issued in Shanghai are bestowed the title of "the most expensive sheet iron all over the world", more expensive than gold. A citizen has to bid in an monthly auction to...
Bubble Diagnosis and Prediction of the 2005-2007 and 2008-2009 Chinese stock market bubbles
stock market crash financial bubble Chinese markets rational expectation bubble herding
2010/11/2
By combining (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles, (ii) behavioral finance on imitation and herding of investors and traders and (iii) the mathematical and statistical physics of bi...
The Czech agricultural insurance market and a prediction of its development in the context of the European Union
agricultural production Common Agricultural Policy agricultural insurance system risk elimination insurance subsidies commercial insurance company crop insurance livestock insurance
2014/3/20
In the market economy, agriculture ranks among the important political and economic issues. Risks associated with agricultural activity can be catastrophic. For farmers and farms, damages resulting fr...