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Stock prices assessment: proposal of a new index based on volume weighted historical prices through the use of computer modeling
Agent based simulation Computer modeling, Complex systems Financial analysis Stock market Stock price Volume weighted average price Stock price index.
2012/9/14
The importance of considering the volumes to analyze stock prices movements can be considered as a well-accepted practice in the financial area. However, when we look at the sc...
Gain/loss asymmetry in time series of individual stock prices and its relationship to the leverage effect
gain/loss asymmetry leverage effect EGARCH retarded volatility model
2010/11/3
Previous research has shown that for stock indices, the most likely time until a return of a
particular size has been observed is longer for gains than for losses. We establish that this so-called ga...
Nonlinear Mean Reversion in Stock Prices
Fundamental value mean reversion present value model STAR model
2010/9/7
In this paper we investigate mean reversion dynamics in the deviation of the yearly S&P 500 index from its fundamental value. We consider different versions of the present value model with constant an...
Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices
Crashes Trading volume Skewness
2014/3/18
We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have experien...