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On-Line Portfolio Selection with Moving Average Reversion
Portfolio Selection Moving Average Reversion
2012/9/14
On-line portfolio selection has attracted in-creasing interests in machine learning and AI communities recently. Empirical evidence show that stock’s high and low prices are temporary and stock price ...
Forecasting Value-at-Risk with Time-Varying Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis in an Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework
exponential weighted moving average time -varying higher moments Cornish-Fisher expansion Gram -Charlier density risk management Value-at -Risk
2012/9/14
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that joint...
Pricing of average strike Asian call option using numerical PDE methods
Asian Option Crank Nicolson Implicit Method Higher Order Compact Monte Carlo Simulation
2011/7/4
In this paper, a standard PDE for the pricing of arithmetic average strike Asian call option is presented. A Crank-Nicolson Implicit Method and a Higher Order Compact finite difference scheme for this...
Macroeconomic Phase Transitions Detected from the Dow Jones Industrial Average Time Series
DJI macroeconomic cycle phase transitions segmentation clustering
2010/11/1
In this paper, we perform statistical segmentation and clustering analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average time series between January 1997 and August 2008.Modeling the index movements and log-ind...