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Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty:Theory and Firm Evidence
Investment Trade Uncertainty Policy Agreements
2015/9/22
Using a dynamic, heterogeneous firms model with sunk costs of exporting we show that: (i) investment and entry into export markets is reduced when trade policy is uncertain and (ii) credible preferent...
Policy Uncertainty, Trade and Welfare:Theory and Evidence for China and the U.S.
Policy Uncertainty Trade Welfare China the U.S.
2015/9/22
We examine the impact of policy uncertainty on trade and real income through firms’ export investments in general equilibrium. We quantify the trade policy causes and welfare effects of China’s export...
We consider two classes of explanations for the rise in policy-related economic uncertainty in the United States since 1960. The first stresses growth in government spending, taxes,and regulation. A s...