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地方财政收入对GDP动态响应的数量关系解构—— 以陕西省为例
地方财政收入 GDP 数量关系
2017/5/15
本文将地区GDP与地方财政收入折算为可比价后，按照陕西省GDP年均增速8.5%考虑，构建了模型方程并进行数量关系解构。结果表明，“十三五”末，陕西地方财政收入预计为3020亿元，占当年地区GDP比重的10.37%，陕西地区GDP每增长100亿元，地方财政收入同时增长约11.25亿元。为确保地方财政收入稳定增长，并为地区经济发展提供有力支撑，建议从减少企业成本以营造良好市场环境、运用财政调控杠杆来引...
Improving GDP Measurement:A Measurement-Error Perspective
Income Output expenditure business cycle expansion contraction recession turning point state-space model dynamic factor model forecast combination
2015/9/18
We provide a new measure of historical U.S. GDP growth, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the noisy expenditure-side and income-side GDPestimates. The quarter-by-quarter val...
What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth?
Term structure Forecasting Financial markets and the macroeconomy
2015/7/23
A lot, including a few things you may not expect. Previous studies find that the term spread
forecasts GDP but these regressions are unconstrained and do not model regressor
endogeneity. We bu...
By How Much Does GDP Rise If the Government Buys More Output?
GDP Rise Government Buys More Output
2015/7/20
During World War II and the Korean War, real GDP grew by about half the increase in government purchases. With allowance for other factors holding back GDP growth during those wars, the multiplier lin...
Analysis of influential factors responsible for the effect of tax reduction on GDP
Agent-based modeling Tax reduction Multiplier Public expenditure Balanced finance Executive compensation, Investment
2014/8/8
The factors responsible for the effect of a tax reduction on GDP are analyzed using both agent-based modeling (ABM), based on the authors’ previous study, and a derived set of equations for tax reduct...
培育与世界GDP第二相称的中国资本市场
GDP 资本市场
2014/1/10
中国经济继续保持较快发展，GDP雄居世界第二。然而，A股连续两年熊冠全球，资本市场成了宏观经济的反向"晴雨表"，其消极影响极为明显。加快发展和规范中国资本市场，使之与世界GDP第二的经济总量和地位相匹配，不仅能够以资本市场投资效应解决中国经济面临的增速放缓问题，而且能够以资本市场财富效应刺激消费扩大，缓解通胀压力，促进实体经济持续健康发展。
Does GDP measure growth in the economy or simply growth in the money supply?
GDP measure growth the economy money supply
2012/9/14
Gross Domestic Product(GDP) is a widely used measurement ofeconomic growth representing the market value of all final goods and services produced by a country within a given time. In this paper we que...
The growth rate of real GDP per capita in the biggest OECD countries is represented as a sum of two components - a steadily decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in some specific age...
泰安市房地产投资对GDP影响的实证研究
房地产投资 GDP 泰安市 影响
2011/11/13
房地产业由于具有较强的前向、后向和旁侧关联度,已经成为我国产业链中重要的支柱产业之一。本文以Eviews6.0为平台,运用计量经济模型对泰安市GDP增长与房地产投资之间的关系进行了实证分析。同时探讨了关于房地产投资风险与控制,并针对当前形势提出了对房地产投资风险防范与控制建议。
Oil Exports, Non-Oil GDP, and Investment in the GCC Countries
policies economic performance
2011/10/23
This paper studies the long-run and short-run relationships between oil exports, non-oil GDP, and investment in five major oil-exporting countries. Its goal is to verify the effect of natural resource...
Oil Exports, Non-Oil GDP, and Investment in the GCC Countries
investment natural resources economic performance
2011/10/23
This paper studies the long-run and short-run relationships between oil exports, non-oil GDP, and investment in five major oil-exporting countries. Its goal is to verify the effect of natural resource...
中国科学院预测科学研究中心在粮食产量预测和GDP预测方面又取得了新的进展。
Ever since the early days of National Income accounting we can observe periodic surges of demands to fix the measurement of GDP to better reflect progress, welfare or even happiness. In recent years e...
GDP崇拜走到尽头 “幸福指数”将成关注焦点
GDP 经济建设
2012/3/12
2011年2月中旬，从邻国日本传来消息：中国GDP总量首超日本，成为世界第二。然而，在刚结束的地方“两会”上，北京、上海、广东、浙江、山东等经济发达地区公布的“十二五”经济增速目标悄然调低至个位数。